Hurricane Nate to have severe flooding impact on Pennsylvania

With Tropical Storm Nate poised to reach Pennsylvania, questions remain about the impact in our state.
PennLive is providing live updates on the latest forecasts and predictions about Nate’s track and how much rain it will bring.
Our coverage below includes interviews with meteorologists, historical context, weather models and more.

8:20 p.m. Saturday: Nate makes landfall
Hurricane Nate has made landfall at the mouth of the Mississippi River, according to the Associated Press.

The National Hurricane Center indicated that as of 7 p.m. Central Daylight Time, the storm had sustained winds of 85 mph and was moving north at 20 mph.

7:09 p.m. Saturday: Waterspout spotted off of Alabama coast as Hurricane Nate approaches coast.

5:19 p.m. Saturday: AccuWeather says rain from Hurricane Nate remnants will ease dryness in eastern US
The rain from the remnants of Hurricane Nate will bring areas that are abonormally dry, including Pennsylvania.
The U.S. Drought Monitor lists parts of Pennsylvania as abnormally dry.
Meteorologists have predicted anywhere from 1 to 3 inches of rain from the storm’s remnants here in Pennsylvania.
“The rainfall deficit in many areas is roughly equal to that which Nate has the potential to deliver,” AccuWeather reported.
3:30 p.m. Saturday: Updated storm track predictions
The National Hurricane Center reports that Hurricane Nate is predicted to strengthen to a category 2 storm before making landfall on the central Gulf Coast.
Once the storm makes landfall, it is expected to weaken rapidly as it moves to the eastern part of the U.S.
Tropical storm watches and warnings are in effect for portions
of southeastern Mississippi, Alabama, and western Georgia.
8:15 a.m. Saturday: New Orleans, Gulf Coast prepare for landfall
Hurricane Nate moved toward the Gulf Coast overnight and is expected to make landfall late Saturday or early Sunday.
Nate is expected to hit east of New Orleans.

The Category 1 hurricane is moving northwest at 22 mph with 80 mph winds, according to the National Hurricane Center.

“A hurricane warning is in effect for portions of the northern Gulf Coast from Louisiana to Alabama, and preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in these areas,” the hurricane center said. “Life-threatening storm surge flooding is likely along portions of the northern Gulf Coast.”

The storm is predicted to move through the Gulf of Mexico, and is expected to strengthen to a hurricane at it nears Louisiana at early Sunday.
The storm is then expected to continue to the northeast, and the remnants are expected to be directly over Pennsylvania overnight Monday and into Tuesday.
Central Pennsylvania will begin to see the effects of the remnants of the storm late Sunday night and into Monday, according to area meteorologists.
AccuWeather meteorologist Paul Walker said that anywhere from 1 to 3 inches of rain is expected, and that low-lying area and poor drainage areas could see some flooding.
“I think it’s going to be a good, soaking rain,” he said.
National Weather Service meteorologist Aaron Tyburski, however, predicted only about an inch of rain.
Tyberski added that due to leaves coming off trees due to fall foliage, leaves could block storm drains and cause additional flooding issues.
ABC 27 meteorologist Ann Rodden said the storm is expected to bring a “healthy dose” of rain throughout the day on Monday, with a total of 1 to 2 inches of rainfall possible.
She echoed Tyberski and Walker’s predictions about flooding.
“Flooding is not much of a concern because of how dry we’ve been so far this season stretching almost 20 days without measurable rainfall in central Pennsylvania,” she said. “The water will be well met with the dry ground.”

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