There are three active storms in the Atlantic currently: Hurricane Jose, Tropical Storm Maria, and Tropical Storm Lee. To better understand the path of each storm, we will break each one down for you.
Hurricane Jose will continue to indirectly impact parts of the US east coast this weekend. Even though it’s hundreds of miles off of the Southeast coast, rip currents and elevated surf are impacting the region. It is beginning to move to the north, propagating the waves with it. Once Wednesday rolls around, direct impacts will be felt across parts of Southern New England as Jose likely weakens into a tropical storm. Expect showers and gusty winds, which on occasion can gust to tropical storm force (39+ miles per hour). As the jet stream picks up Jose once it gets to this latitude, it will quickly exit to the east and will be out of the Northeast region by Thursday. The main takeaway with this storm is that other than some gusty winds and rain, the rest of the East Coast will deal with large waves and dangerous rip currents. Alert levels have been issued for Jose. These alerts include ‘Elevated’ alert levels for southeastern New England and a ‘guarded’ alert level for the New York City area because some gusty winds are still possible there.
Moving on to Tropical Storm Lee, which used to be Invest 97L, is the least impactful storm in the Atlantic basin at this moment. We like to call these types of storms “fish storms” because Lee will only impact the ocean. The National Hurricane Center has released a model in regards to Tropical Storm Lee not being a threat to anything but the ocean, and will eventually weaken into a post-tropical storm later in the week.
Lastly, we have Tropical Storm Maria which, believe it or not, is the storm that is the weakest but poses the greatest threat to life and property. The NHC upgraded Tropical Depression fifteen to Tropical Storm Maria yesterday. A hurricane watch has been issued for the same areas that were impacted by Hurricane Irma. Maria is likely to strengthen into a hurricane by Tuesday as it begins to impact many of the Leeward Islands, including Barbuda, which was heavily damaged by Irma earlier this month. The storm will continue its west-northwest track as a hurricane through the Greater Antilles, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and Turks and Caicos. All of these islands need to prepare now for impacts from this storm. In the long term, the US and the Bahamas will need to monitor what will likely become Hurricane Maria. With high pressure over the Atlantic, Maria may be steered westward without an easy path out to sea. At this time, we have no idea exactly where this storm is headed this far out in time but the entire US coastline will need to monitor.
Alert levels have been issued for Maria. These include an ‘Elevated’ alert for portions of the Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico and the US British Virgin Islands. Another discussion will be made as we receive more updated models and forecasts.